Calm-Gossip

0x336bf6f91a4619d54f0711a20fe468adf4d71233

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Calm-Gossip: −$22K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$22K
return −58.2%
Settled bets
6
$37K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$16K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$5.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 SELL Cincinnati Reds @ 31¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves $3.2K
Sep 18 BUY Natus Vincere @ 35¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 13 BUY Anyones Legend @ 34¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.5K
Aug 27 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 48¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $17K
Aug 26 BUY Lucie Havlickova @ 30¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova $5.5K
Aug 20 BUY Tommy Paul @ 51¢
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli $12K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed