Illustrious-Budget
0x1e386b0e0f1fc58c67ce738d7bbc4ba7ec74fd47
Illustrious-Budget: −$37K on 57 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 54%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$37K
return −4.9%
Settled bets
57
$758K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 54%–78%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 39 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$68K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$29K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? |
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? | $47K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10? |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10? | $10K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | $29K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime
@ 80¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | $23K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? |
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? | $22K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Bublik
@ 68¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | $15K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Karen Khachanov
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | $16K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 79¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.