Rash-Copying

0x5f659bccbc353dbf7bcdffdee73bee60bb482036

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$163K
return −11.7%
Settled bets
124
$1.39M staked
Won
39.5%
95% range 31%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 76 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$158K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$4.5K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 6 Sold Oleg Prihodko at 89¢
Tulln: Oleg Prihodko vs Ivan Gakhov
Tulln: Oleg Prihodko vs Ivan Gakhov $6.7K
Sep 6 Bought Oleg Prihodko at 36¢
Tulln: Oleg Prihodko vs Ivan Gakhov
Tulln: Oleg Prihodko vs Ivan Gakhov $2.7K
Sep 6 Bought Matthew William Donald at 68¢
Tulln: Jelle Sels vs Matthew William Donald
Tulln: Jelle Sels vs Matthew William Donald $1.9K
Sep 5 Bought Benjamin Bonzi at 32¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi $20K
Sep 5 Sold Felix Balshaw at 99¢
Manacor: Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw
Manacor: Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw $10K
Sep 5 Sold Over at 99.9¢
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $19K
Sep 5 Bought Over at 41¢
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $7.7K
Sep 4 Bought Ann Li at 4¢
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Linda Noskova
US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Linda Noskova $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed