Ignorant-Bun
0x1e52bbdf389526f57abc62641d518868f4c5eb43
Ignorant-Bun: +$9.2K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 62%–93%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
+$9.2K
return +6.5%
Settled bets
22
$142K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 62%–93%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$7.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$9.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 65¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 55¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 58¢
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY MOUZ
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.