Hilarious-Descent
0x4a555dd6e80ac3732ef92a29df3024e49e91a82a
Hilarious-Descent: −$3.2K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 11%–52%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.2K
return −20.8%
Settled bets
15
$15K staked
Won
26.7%
95% range 11%–52%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | SELL Daniel Rincon
@ 99.9¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon | $1.7K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 36¢
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe |
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | $2.0K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Jessica Pegula
@ 99.9¢
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek |
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek | $8.0K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Frances Tiafoe
@ 99.9¢
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe |
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe | $9.7K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Taylor Fritz
@ 70¢
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima |
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | $2.3K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Ana Grubor
@ 99.9¢
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Elsa Bonelli |
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Elsa Bonelli | $4.4K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Anastasija Cvetkovic
@ 99.9¢
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Mara Guth |
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Mara Guth | $2.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.