Accomplished-Mincemeat
0x46996fc536f8828aadbb6bd7f9065b4e10175051
Accomplished-Mincemeat: +$3.9K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 14%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.9K
return +224.0%
Settled bets
16
$1.8K staked
Won
31.2%
95% range 14%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$191
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | SELL Thiago Monteiro
@ 85¢
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller |
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller | $2.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Benjamin Lock
@ 99.9¢
M25 Kigali: Max Houkes vs Benjamin Lock |
M25 Kigali: Max Houkes vs Benjamin Lock | $5.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Leylah Fernandez
@ 97¢
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska |
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska | $2.3K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Barbora Krejcikova
@ 96¢
Singapore Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam |
Singapore Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna-Lena Friedsam | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Thiago Monteiro
@ 66¢
Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro |
Szczecin: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro | $1.8K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
@ 69¢
Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet |
Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet | $3.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates
@ 42¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $1.8K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Sebastian Gorzny
@ 57¢
Tiburon: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy |
Tiburon: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.