Practical-Advent
0xf5198df69e13937a40d1c76d6f72d9aa067d906b
Practical-Advent: +$2.1K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 45%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.1K
return +2.6%
Settled bets
14
$82K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 45%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$4.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Alex de Minaur
@ 38¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Jiri Lehecka
@ 86¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | $15K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? |
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 30¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $5.8K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 56¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? | $4.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? |
Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? | $4.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? |
Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.