Severe-Confidentiality
0x547f2917d51f2e63ab382dcf641d4e0240162937
Severe-Confidentiality: +$30K on 55 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 43%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$30K
return +7.3%
Settled bets
55
$411K staked
Won
56.4%
95% range 43%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 46 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$30K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
Grêmio FBPA vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5 |
Grêmio FBPA vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5 | $4.3K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Under
@ 69¢
Córdoba CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5 |
Córdoba CF vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Under
@ 80¢
Dundee FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5 |
Dundee FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.8K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5 |
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5 | $5.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Under
@ 70¢
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5 |
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5 | $1.3K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Under
@ 67¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5 |
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5 | $4.8K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Under
@ 67¢
ACF Fiorentina vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 |
ACF Fiorentina vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5 | $4.4K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Under
@ 62¢
Watford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5 |
Watford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5 | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.