Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

Resolved: Iga Swiatek won · See it on Polymarket ↗

31 whales put $2.59M into this market since Aug 20, 60% of their buying on Elena Rybakina. Iga Swiatek won. Of the 24 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$24K and 16 lost −$240K: −$216K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 31
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Webbed-Myth
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 80¢ $29K $2.13M —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Elena Rybakina @ 25¢ $146K — −$98K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 30¢ $62K — −$41K
0xd104…710b
2 settled bets Too few bets
Iga Swiatek @ 61¢ $12K $20K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Elena Rybakina @ 25¢ $32K — −$32K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 81¢ $24K — +$5.5K
Smart-Pate-Pumpkin
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $17K —
Illustrious-Budget
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 60¢ $10K — +$6.7K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 43¢ $10K — −$10K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 60¢ $9.9K — +$6.6K
Harmless-Baseball
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 19¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Anchored-Grit
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 81¢ $9.4K — +$2.2K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 19¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Quizzical-Hire
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 33¢ $7.3K — −$7.3K
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 86¢ $5.5K $1.3K +$723
Welcome-Revenue
210 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 19¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 19¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Watchful-Skating
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 40¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Elena Rybakina @ 33¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Yawning-Chicken
216 settled bets Worse than the odds
Elena Rybakina @ 19¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Naughty-Tab
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 80¢ $1.0K $1.5K —
Mountainous-Beef
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iga Swiatek @ 59¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K
Alert-Eavesdropper
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Elena Rybakina @ 21¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Hot-Efficiency-Flintlock
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Elena Rybakina lost
    $247K
    60% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $1.5K sold
  2. Iga Swiatek won
    $158K
    38% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $2.17M sold
  3. Elena Rybakina lost
    $8.7K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed