0xde5d…9192
Skill vs luck
0xde5d…9192 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$546. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xde5d…9192: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xde5d…9192: −$546 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$546
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY Rafael Jodar @ 55¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 70¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-11? | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?