Curly-Soap

0xcf0c70317fd5e4e4429758b3d80a7b7f3762f2bb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Curly-Soap: +$7.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$7.0K
return +44.9%
Settled bets
5
$16K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 2 – Oct 17
+$7.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,007 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 16 BUY Down @ 61¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET $7.0K
Oct 16 BUY 100 Thieves @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 16 BUY Legacy @ 63¢ Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B ↗ $2.2K
Oct 16 BUY Alejo Sanchez Quilez @ 52¢
Maia: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut
Maia: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut $2.9K
Oct 16 BUY Maja Chwalinska @ 58¢ Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari ↗ $2.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed