Polymarket market · Sports
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
Resolved: Daniel Merida Aguilar won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales put $306K into this market since Sep 2, 59% of their buying on Andrey Rublev. Daniel Merida Aguilar won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$122K and 7 lost −$152K: −$30K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Andrey Rublev @ 62¢ | $132K | — | −$132K |
| Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 39¢ | $47K | — | +$73K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 48¢ | $20K | — | +$13K |
| Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 51¢ | $6.8K | $8.5K | +$1.7K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Andrey Rublev @ 59¢ | $11K | — | −$4.8K |
| Sick-Backyard
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 39¢ | $3.0K | $7.7K | +$4.7K |
| Wooden-Breath
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 46¢ | $4.0K | $5.8K | +$2.0K |
| 0xef1b…8697
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Andrey Rublev @ 60¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 46¢ | $4.8K | — | +$5.6K |
| Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 55¢ | $4.8K | — | +$3.9K |
| Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.6K | — |
| Wan-Flash
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Andrey Rublev @ 61¢ | $4.5K | — | −$4.5K |
| Youthful-Mug
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 39¢ | $3.9K | — | +$6.1K |
| Portly-Derivation
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Andrey Rublev @ 57¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Reckless-Derivation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 93¢ | $3.3K | — | +$250 |
| Serpentine-Cue
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 55¢ | $3.2K | — | +$2.6K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 68¢ | $2.6K | — | −$529 |
| Black-And-White-Solitaire
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 49¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.6K |
| Ignorant-Beetle
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Secret-Evaluator
104 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 73¢ | $2.0K | — | +$727 |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Andrey Rublev @ 54¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Ajar-Thief-Rooster
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 43¢ | $1.8K | — | +$2.4K |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Icy-Hellcat-Lot
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Marvelous-Face
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Andrey Rublev lost$160K59% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.8K sold
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar won$109K41% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $33K sold
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech | $66K | 14 | Won: Arthur Rinderknech | |
| San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | $133K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen | $86K | 19 | Won: Alex Michelsen | |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | $95K | 8 | Won: Under | |
| US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini | $73K | 9 | Won: Jasmine Paolini | |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | $118K | 12 | Won: Paula Badosa | |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals | $255K | 9 | Won: Atlanta Braves | |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz | $249K | 30 | Won: Ben Shelton |