Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech

Resolved: Arthur Rinderknech won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $66K into this market since Aug 31, 56% of their buying on Arthur Rinderknech. Arthur Rinderknech won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$16K and 6 lost −$20K: −$3.7K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Rinderknech @ 61¢ $2.1K $9.1K —
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Rinderknech @ 44¢ $9.0K — +$11K
Acclaimed-Barrel
4 settled bets Too few bets
Jaume Munar @ 40¢ $8.5K — −$8.5K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jaume Munar @ 39¢ $7.5K — −$7.5K
Dry-Gather
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Rinderknech @ 61¢ $6.1K — +$3.9K
Humble-Woolens-Circumference
20 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Rinderknech @ 59¢ $2.8K $2.0K −$803
Reliable-Giggle
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jaume Munar @ 56¢ $2.5K $1.9K −$670
Hideous-Iris
4 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Rinderknech @ 94¢ $3.8K — +$244
0xd4c2…1e3a
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.3K —
Distinct-Case
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Rinderknech @ 89¢ $1.6K — +$203
Foolish-Mango
227 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jaume Munar @ 24¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Popular-Rake-Defeat
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jaume Munar @ 11¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Uniform-Awareness
1 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Rinderknech @ 61¢ $1.0K — +$640

Where the whale money went

  1. Arthur Rinderknech won
    $26K
    56% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $16K sold
  2. Jaume Munar lost
    $21K
    45% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.9K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31 to Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed