Polymarket market · Sports

US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Resolved: Jasmine Paolini won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $73K into this market since Sep 2, 95% of their buying on Jasmine Paolini. Jasmine Paolini won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$12K and 2 lost −$2.4K: +$9.8K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grave-Coconut
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 98¢ $26K — +$522
Serpentine-Cue
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $17K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 60¢ $16K — +$11K
Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.9K —
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 83¢ $3.6K — +$740
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jasmine Paolini @ 86¢ $1.7K — +$274
Specific-Operating
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lucrezia Stefanini @ 45¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jasmine Paolini @ 94¢ $1.1K — +$73
Frivolous-Sinuosity
3 settled bets Too few bets
Lucrezia Stefanini @ 51¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Jasmine Paolini won
    $48K
    95% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $22K sold
  2. Lucrezia Stefanini lost
    $2.4K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed