Youthful-Mug
0x9c76cdb43fb46454da005fbc82047a64a18ec926
Youthful-Mug: +$15K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 41%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$15K
return +20.0%
Settled bets
31
$73K staked
Won
58.1%
95% range 41%–74%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$13K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$498
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Jan-Lennard Struff
@ 37¢
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Missouri State
@ 54¢
1H Spread: Western Kentucky (-0.5) |
1H Spread: Western Kentucky (-0.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY St. Louis Cardinals
@ 53¢
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) |
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Washington Nationals
@ 54¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY North Texas
@ 42¢
UNLV vs. North Texas |
UNLV vs. North Texas | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 |
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 |
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 46¢
Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5 |
Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5 | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.