Present-Grape-Drinking
0x168a51f1cac0ad3b166797069382495a8aa10d24
Profit
−$492K
return −12.2%
Settled bets
21
$4.03M staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 25%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$26K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$46K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$421K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Bought No
at 40¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | $96K |
| Sep 24 | Bought No
at 40¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | $49K |
| Sep 24 | Bought No
at 40¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | $116K |
| Sep 24 | Bought No
at 39¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | $160K |
| Sep 12 | Bought No
at 41¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $48K |
| Sep 12 | Bought No
at 41¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $136K |
| Sep 12 | Bought No
at 41¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $59K |
| Sep 12 | Bought No
at 41¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $48K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.