Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut

0xc05eb2ed119451c6e5e0024bdd3501f7c4ec24ae

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut: −$1.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −16.8%
Settled bets
8
$9.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.7K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY Oklahoma @ 45¢
Oklahoma vs. Michigan
Oklahoma vs. Michigan $1.2K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 89¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05? $1.1K
Sep 4 BUY Detroit Tigers @ 39¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians $2.0K
Sep 2 SELL Andrey Rublev @ 79¢
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev $1.8K
Aug 31 BUY Dalibor Svrcina @ 52¢
US Open ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer
US Open ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer $1.0K
Aug 23 BUY New York Yankees @ 55¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees $1.2K
Aug 23 BUY No @ 72¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? $1.3K
Aug 20 BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 50¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed