Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen

Resolved: Alex Michelsen won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales put $86K into this market since Sep 2, 67% of their buying on Brandon Nakashima. Alex Michelsen won. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$5.2K and 10 lost −$54K: −$49K between them.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Flowery-Source-Stamina
3 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 66¢ $20K — −$20K
Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
Brandon Nakashima @ 69¢ $14K — −$14K
Favorable-Neuron
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 80¢ $6.7K — −$1.9K
Ignorant-Front
48 settled bets Worse than the odds
Alex Michelsen @ 97¢ $5.6K — +$180
Upright-Folklore-Distribution
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 48¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Piercing-Strip-Rust
11 settled bets Too few bets
Alex Michelsen @ 97¢ $4.9K — +$177
0xb3ba…f84e
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 99¢ $4.9K — +$65
Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 68¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Cavernous-Undershirt
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 93¢ $3.6K — +$272
Close-Hydrogen-Elevator
5 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 70¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 76¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Red-Constitution
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 97¢ $1.9K — +$60
0xdeff…78f8
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 32¢ $1.6K — +$3.3K
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Tinted-Text
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 55¢ $1.3K — +$1.1K
Growling-Widget
3 settled bets Too few bets
Brandon Nakashima @ 69¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
163 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 42¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex Michelsen @ 53¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Brandon Nakashima lost
    $55K
    67% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $1.5K sold
  2. Alex Michelsen won
    $27K
    32% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.8K sold
  3. Alex Michelsen lost
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed