Serpentine-Cue
0x5dab5ed9691fab220535891d9c7f5c28eed322e1
Serpentine-Cue: −$503K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 17%–50%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$503K
return −74.9%
Settled bets
26
$672K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 17%–50%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$395K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$108K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Anna Blinkova
@ 63¢
Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna Blinkova |
Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna Blinkova | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anna Blinkova
@ 63¢
Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna Blinkova |
Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna Blinkova | $52K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | $41K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | $13K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 67¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Bernard Tomic
@ 40¢
Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka |
Shanghai: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka | $7.9K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Seahawks
@ 47¢
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 80¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx | $8.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.