0xef1b…8697
0xef1bfe068ea3eb4c357d95805baf1050fd528697
0xef1b…8697: −$7.1K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 21%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$7.1K
return −6.4%
Settled bets
21
$111K staked
Won
38.1%
95% range 21%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$5.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$5.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY St. Louis Cardinals
@ 35¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $4.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY St. Louis Cardinals
@ 38¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | SELL East Carolina
@ 99.9¢
East Carolina vs. Old Dominion |
East Carolina vs. Old Dominion | $7.8K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Paula Badosa
@ 32¢
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa |
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa | $5.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Delaware
@ 47¢
Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware |
Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware | $6.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 54¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | $3.8K |
| Sep 16 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 49¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | $3.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 56¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | $5.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.