Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
Resolved: Xinran Sun won · See it on Polymarket ↗
23 whales traded $144K on this market since Oct 29, 59% of their buying on Xinran Sun. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Xinran Sun won, with 59% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$20K and 8 lost −$29K: −$8.9K between them. Biggest win: Snappy-Basketball, +$14K on Xinran Sun. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$11K on Claire Liu.
The whales on this market
23 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 63¢ | $23K | $37K | +$14K |
| Ajar-Thief-Rooster
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 49¢ | $5.5K | $14K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
2,170 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Claire Liu @ 64¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 83¢ | $7.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 43¢ | $1.9K | $4.5K | +$2.6K |
| Giant-Window
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 60¢ | $6.3K | — | −$4.4K |
| Unwelcome-Opening-Sultan
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Claire Liu @ 44¢ | $3.7K | — | −$3.7K |
| Foolhardy-Native-Youth
16 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Claire Liu @ 62¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,124 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Xinran Sun @ 84¢ | $2.6K | — | +$489 |
| Snoopy-Feature
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Claire Liu @ 62¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Punctual-Meantime-Tune
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Cautious-Present
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 62¢ | $2.2K | — | +$1.3K |
| Unruly-Rocker
184 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Thrifty-Dragonfruit
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Claire Liu @ 62¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,202 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Confused-Birthday
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Acceptable-Weather
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 38¢ | $1.2K | — | +$2.0K |
| Wordy-Dinosaur
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 84¢ | $1.2K | — | +$229 |
| Uniform-Comestible
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Weekly-System-Gravitas
18 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Claire Liu @ 43¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Jumbo-Humanity
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Xinran Sun won$44K59% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $69K sold
-
Claire Liu lost$19K26% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Claire Liu lost$11K15% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider | $119K | 26 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev | $90K | 15 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi | $100K | 20 | Won: Lilli Tagger | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot | $163K | 28 | Won: Valentin Vacherot | |
| Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | $100K | 17 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils | $171K | 26 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva | $55K | 7 | Won: Elsa Jacquemot | |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 | $58K | 5 | Won: Over |