Polymarket market · Sports

Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi

Resolved: Lilli Tagger won · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales traded $100K on this market since Oct 30, 54% of their buying on Han Shi. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 6.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Lilli Tagger won, with 46% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$14K and 7 lost −$38K: −$25K between them. Biggest win: Dapper-Pub-Warmth, +$6.4K on Lilli Tagger. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$13K on Han Shi.

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds*
Han Shi @ 36¢ $13K — −$13K
Dapper-Pub-Warmth
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 61¢ $10K — +$6.4K
Inexperienced-Bustle
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 64¢ $10K — −$10K
Excellent-Figure
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 53¢ $5.1K $3.8K —
Stormy-Influence
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.1K —
Powerless-Savannah
3,124 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lilli Tagger @ 76¢ $6.8K — +$205
Glaring-Salt
2,170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 74¢ $6.7K — +$2.4K
Forked-Pricing
270 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 89¢ $6.1K — +$787
Quixotic-Brow
247 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 26¢ $5.6K — −$5.6K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 48¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 41¢ $3.9K — −$1.8K
Dizzy-Coliseum
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 69¢ $3.0K — +$1.4K
Monstrous-Dew
517 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 61¢ $1.4K $1.0K +$366
Celebrated-Executor
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 96¢ $2.0K — +$88
Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
70 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Scary-Edible
1,653 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Han Shi @ 33¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Mad-Wound
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 96¢ $1.5K — +$69
Limited-Dragonfruit
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 44¢ $1.5K — +$1.9K
Easy-Going-Gumshoe
11 settled bets Too few bets
Han Shi @ 49¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Cautious-Present
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Han Shi lost
    $46K
    54% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $3.1K sold
  2. Lilli Tagger won
    $39K
    46% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $13K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793430041).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev $90K 15 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot $163K 28 Won: Valentin Vacherot
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz $100K 17 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils $171K 26 Won: Taylor Fritz
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu $144K 23 Won: Xinran Sun
Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva $55K 7 Won: Elsa Jacquemot
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 $58K 5 Won: Over
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider $119K 26 Won: Diana Shnaider
About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed