Giant-Window

0x7c1ee865a785de4c00ee90ed86a38489fb8bbab3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Giant-Window: −$2.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.8K
return −30.3%
Settled bets
4
$9.4K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$2.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Egor Agafonov @ 62¢
Wuning 3: Egor Agafonov vs Maxim Zhukov
Wuning 3: Egor Agafonov vs Maxim Zhukov $3.7K
Oct 3 BUY Xinran Sun @ 72¢
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa $2.1K
Oct 3 BUY Cristina Bucsa @ 61¢
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY Elina Svitolina @ 65¢
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina $2.4K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed