Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $90K on this market since Oct 30, 91% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Daniil Medvedev won, with 91% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$5.1K and 3 lost −$6.0K: −$919 between them. Biggest win: Naughty-Tab, +$2.2K on Daniil Medvedev. Biggest loss: Ajar-Thief-Rooster, −$3.0K on Adrian Mannarino.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrathful-Row
306 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 89¢ | $12K | $11K | +$337 |
| Naughty-Tab
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 87¢ | $16K | $3.2K | +$2.2K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 92¢ | $11K | — | +$942 |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,124 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Daniil Medvedev @ 93¢ | $7.6K | — | +$576 |
| Enchanting-Oats-Veal
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.6K | — |
| Giant-Window
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 92¢ | $4.4K | — | +$382 |
| Tan-Swivel
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 89¢ | $1.7K | $1.9K | +$208 |
| Ajar-Thief-Rooster
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 10¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Imaginative-River
91 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Daniil Medvedev @ 99¢ | $2.0K | — | +$30 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Adrian Mannarino @ 14¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Huge-Cement-Shift
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Daniil Medvedev @ 94¢ | $1.6K | — | +$108 |
| Mad-Wound
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 89¢ | $1.5K | — | +$185 |
| Irresponsible-Autumn
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 92¢ | $1.5K | — | +$128 |
| Glaring-Salt
2,170 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 21¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Far-Off-Candidate
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Daniil Medvedev won$60K91% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $24K sold
-
Adrian Mannarino lost$6.0K9% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi | $100K | 20 | Won: Lilli Tagger | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot | $163K | 28 | Won: Valentin Vacherot | |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu | $144K | 23 | Won: Xinran Sun | |
| Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | $100K | 17 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils | $171K | 26 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider | $119K | 26 | Won: Diana Shnaider | |
| Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva | $55K | 7 | Won: Elsa Jacquemot | |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 | $58K | 5 | Won: Over |