Polymarket market · Sports
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
Resolved: Valentin Vacherot won · See it on Polymarket ↗
28 whales traded $163K on this market since Oct 30, 65% of their buying on Valentin Vacherot. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Valentin Vacherot won, with 65% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$25K and 7 lost −$35K: −$9.8K between them. Biggest win: Meager-Flair-Wait, +$6.7K on Valentin Vacherot. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$17K on Holger Rune.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 28| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 45¢ | $2.7K | $33K | — |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
108 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Valentin Vacherot @ 43¢ | $10K | $17K | +$6.7K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Holger Rune @ 49¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Quixotic-Brow
247 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Holger Rune @ 58¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,460 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Valentin Vacherot @ 89¢ | $9.2K | — | +$1.1K |
| Wrathful-Row
306 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 82¢ | $7.8K | — | +$1.7K |
| Forked-Pricing
270 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 96¢ | $7.5K | — | +$313 |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,124 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Valentin Vacherot @ 81¢ | $7.2K | — | +$1.7K |
| Big-Hearted-Configuration
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 77¢ | $5.6K | — | +$1.7K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 59¢ | $5.0K | — | +$36 |
| Excellent-Figure
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 60¢ | $3.2K | — | +$2.1K |
| Harmless-Region
272 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 86¢ | $2.5K | — | +$401 |
| Scared-Mass
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Valentin Vacherot @ 42¢ | $2.3K | — | +$3.2K |
| Gracious-Childbirth
19 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Valentin Vacherot @ 37¢ | $2.0K | — | +$3.4K |
| Hot-Webpage
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 94¢ | $1.9K | — | +$120 |
| Petty-Sled
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Valentin Vacherot @ 73¢ | $1.8K | — | +$675 |
| Cautious-Present
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Prestigious-Produce
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Unwelcome-Opening-Sultan
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Holger Rune @ 51¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Slow-Escape
390 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Holger Rune @ 68¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Easy-Going-Gumshoe
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Holger Rune @ 54¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Smoggy-Veterinarian
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Secret-Evaluator
120 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Valentin Vacherot @ 52¢ | $1.2K | — | +$1.1K |
| Ironclad-Clone
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| 0xd6f9…e95d
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Holger Rune @ 53¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Valentin Vacherot won$69K65% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $54K sold
-
Holger Rune lost$37K35% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $2.7K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi | $100K | 20 | Won: Lilli Tagger | |
| Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | $100K | 17 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils | $171K | 26 | Won: Taylor Fritz | |
| Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev | $90K | 15 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva | $55K | 7 | Won: Elsa Jacquemot | |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 | $58K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka | $70K | 15 | Won: Jiri Lehecka | |
| Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu | $144K | 23 | Won: Xinran Sun |