Polymarket market · Sports

Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils

Resolved: Taylor Fritz won · See it on Polymarket ↗

26 whales traded $171K on this market since Oct 30, 91% of their buying on Taylor Fritz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Taylor Fritz won, with 91% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$39K and 4 lost −$7.5K: +$32K between them. Biggest win: Homely-Modernist, +$5.4K on Taylor Fritz. Biggest loss: Quixotic-Brow, −$4.3K on Arthur Fils.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 26
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dapper-Pub-Warmth
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 98¢ $71K — +$1.7K
Horrible-Recording
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 61¢ $5.2K $8.2K —
Enchanting-Oats-Veal
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 74¢ $3.8K $5.9K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,561 settled bets Beat the odds*
Taylor Fritz @ 58¢ $7.3K — +$5.3K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 53¢ $5.9K — +$5.2K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
249 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 49¢ $5.1K — +$5.3K
Harmless-Region
280 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.8K —
Homely-Modernist
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 47¢ $4.8K — +$5.4K
Forked-Pricing
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 95¢ $4.7K — +$246
Zesty-Doubter
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 87¢ $4.4K — +$653
Quixotic-Brow
250 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 53¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Tinted-Text
204 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 47¢ $4.2K — +$4.8K
Slow-Escape
390 settled bets Beat the odds*
Taylor Fritz @ 47¢ $4.2K — +$4.8K
Plush-Debate-Paddle
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 50¢ $1.8K $1.8K −$50
Adolescent-Apse
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 95¢ $3.1K — +$163
Jumbo-Humanity
7 settled bets Too few bets
Taylor Fritz @ 52¢ $1.7K $1.3K +$1.6K
Late-Cow-Objection
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Welcome-Revenue
244 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Taylor Fritz @ 47¢ $2.1K — +$2.3K
Substantial-Service
1,166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Fils @ 12¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Powerless-Savannah
3,176 settled bets Beat the odds*
Taylor Fritz @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Paltry-Chauvinist
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Frivolous-Sinuosity
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Flippant-Optimal-Science
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Fils @ 30¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Sweltering-Copyright
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Taylor Fritz won
    $127K
    91% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $31K sold
  2. Arthur Fils lost
    $13K
    9% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz $100K 17 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva $55K 7 Won: Elsa Jacquemot
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot $163K 28 Won: Valentin Vacherot
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 $58K 5 Won: Over
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi $100K 20 Won: Lilli Tagger
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka $70K 15 Won: Jiri Lehecka
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev $90K 15 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges $287K 14 Won: Jan-Lennard Struff
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed