Unruly-Rocker
0xda5fff24aa9d889d6366da205029c73093102e9b
Unruly-Rocker: +$13K on 90 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 28%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +17.6%
Settled bets
90
$77K staked
Won
37.8%
95% range 28%–48%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 41 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$581
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$15K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$842
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Jiri Lehecka
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $5.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 38¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.