Punctual-Meantime-Tune
Skill vs luck
Punctual-Meantime-Tune on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$4.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Punctual-Meantime-Tune: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5cfeed196e27ebc140a1412737cce001fa0b0593. Data CC BY 4.0.
Punctual-Meantime-Tune: −$4.7K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$196
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$4.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Zizou Bergs @ 70¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs ↗ | $3.8K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Antonia Ruzic @ 53¢ | Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Grizzlies
@ 56¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) |
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Jakub Mensik @ 86¢ | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik ↗ | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?