Jumbo-Humanity
Skill vs luck
Jumbo-Humanity on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$265. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Jumbo-Humanity: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xddbf41a99391b6003c452ce6e264e7f586a0b1b3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Jumbo-Humanity: −$265 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$265
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Maria Sakkari @ 38¢ | Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Han Shi
@ 71¢
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova |
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Pistons @ 56¢ | Pistons vs. 76ers ↗ | $1.7K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?