Whimsical-Cliff
0x0cdff1e562faf5ece704ef15f6a9fc4232e7ec9e
Whimsical-Cliff: +$20K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 44%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$20K
return +9.9%
Settled bets
35
$198K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 44%–74%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$22K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$5.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 66¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | $11K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Golden Knights
@ 62¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights |
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | $11K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Blues
@ 60¢
Sharks vs. Blues |
Sharks vs. Blues | $6.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Canadiens
@ 62¢
Predators vs. Canadiens |
Predators vs. Canadiens | $11K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 60¢
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng |
China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng | $11K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 54¢
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | $9.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Golden Knights
@ 66¢
Ducks vs. Golden Knights |
Ducks vs. Golden Knights | $3.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Stars
@ 63¢
Blues vs. Stars |
Blues vs. Stars | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.