Everlasting-Octagon
0x51eb0959202f6547037ffbc565c6096200036bfa
Everlasting-Octagon: +$2.1K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 50%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.1K
return +9.2%
Settled bets
13
$22K staked
Won
76.9%
95% range 50%–92%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$531
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Carlos Sanchez Jover
@ 71¢
Palermo: Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover |
Palermo: Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Sanchez Jover | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Elmer Moeller
@ 99.9¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller |
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Elmer Moeller
@ 80¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller |
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Jiri Lehecka
@ 94¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Vallejo | $1.5K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Carole Monnet
@ 89¢
Adana: Carole Monnet vs Cagla Buyukakcay |
Adana: Carole Monnet vs Cagla Buyukakcay | $1.5K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 83¢
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin |
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin | $3.8K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Jaime Faria
@ 82¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime Faria |
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime Faria | $1.7K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
@ 92¢
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.