Celebrated-Executor
0xfd3e6449d0c1e807501dcc17c0d9447201f35a7a
Celebrated-Executor: −$892 on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 27%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$892
return −4.4%
Settled bets
14
$20K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 27%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$952
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 40¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5 |
Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 56¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 37.5 |
Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 37.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Virginia Tech
@ 64¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech |
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Virginia Tech
@ 71¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech |
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Peyton Stearns
@ 57¢
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns |
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns | $1.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Peyton Stearns
@ 60¢
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns |
China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Peyton Stearns | $1.4K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Rams
@ 73¢
Rams vs. Broncos |
Rams vs. Broncos | $1.3K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Harold Mayot
@ 93¢
St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais |
St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.