Treasured-Notoriety-Romance

0x0d0efde748a217f3985ef32ecc7d005f83e50570

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Treasured-Notoriety-Romance: +$3.5K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 10%–50%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.5K
return +66.0%
Settled bets
16
$5.4K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 10%–50%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 13
+$3.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 SELL Tampa Bay Rays @ 83¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays $1.8K
Oct 12 SELL Over @ 99¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 $1.9K
Oct 12 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 63¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers $1.3K
Oct 11 BUY Under @ 68¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 $1.8K
Oct 9 BUY Under @ 71¢
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5 $1.3K
Oct 9 SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 52¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli $1.1K
Oct 9 BUY Flavio Cobolli @ 55¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli $1.1K
Oct 9 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed