Loving-Atheist

0xb5db6abf19904c4f18daa9bcd753edb99b1f5800

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$2.4K
return −1.6%
Settled bets
50
$152K staked
Won
58.0%
95% range 44%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$11K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$9.9K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$3.3K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Bought India at 87¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies $5.0K
Oct 6 Sold Novak Djokovic at 99.9¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur $1.6K
Oct 6 Bought Novak Djokovic at 64¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur $1.0K
Oct 5 Bought England Champions at 88¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs England Champions
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs England Champions $3.0K
Oct 5 Bought England Champions at 86¢
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs England Champions
World Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs England Champions $2.0K
Oct 5 Bought Coco Gauff at 80¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun $2.0K
Oct 3 Bought India at 62¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies $1.0K
Oct 3 Bought India at 97¢
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India $10K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed