Each-Cenotaph
0xf91683432c57581b0c8c58eb3bd0d6e5f03fe770
Each-Cenotaph: +$21K on 33 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 38%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$21K
return +37.4%
Settled bets
33
$56K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 38%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | SELL Kimberly Birrell
@ 99.9¢
Korea Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Kimberly Birrell |
Korea Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Kimberly Birrell | $3.7K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Giants
@ 24¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5) |
Spread: Rams (-7.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Guido Justo
@ 48¢
Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo |
Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Talia Gibson
@ 72¢
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Fiona Ferro |
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Fiona Ferro | $2.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Samira De Stefano
@ 42¢
Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefano |
Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefano | $2.1K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Daniel Jade
@ 99.9¢
Saint Tropez: Daniel Jade vs Ryan Peniston |
Saint Tropez: Daniel Jade vs Ryan Peniston | $4.1K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Svyatoslav Gulin
@ 92¢
Plovdiv 4: Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin |
Plovdiv 4: Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Mei Yamaguchi
@ 41¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Kyoka Okamura |
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Kyoka Okamura | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.