Gleeful-Molecule
Skill vs luck
Gleeful-Molecule on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Gleeful-Molecule: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x62231a505e70d73d62ac1e9bcae723b5f7f5eb5b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Gleeful-Molecule: +$1.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 99.9¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Maja Chwalinska @ 82¢ | Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari ↗ | $5.1K |
| Oct 15 | SELL
@ 96¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek AND Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek AND Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | $2.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?