Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
41 whales put $797K into this market since Aug 20, 98% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 35 whales whose whole position we captured, 27 made +$5.1K and 7 lost −$16K: −$11K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 41| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.2¢ | $233K | — | +$1.9K |
| Upright-Snug
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.1¢ | $198K | — | +$1.8K |
| Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $59K | — |
| Trusty-Guidance
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.41¢ | $14K | $30K | — |
| Pointed-Appearance
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.26¢ | $31K | — | −$5.8K |
| Valid-Defense
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.3¢ | $28K | — | +$200 |
| Velvety-Burn
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.3¢ | $28K | — | +$193 |
| Good-Natured-Cell
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.2¢ | $21K | — | +$173 |
| Frizzy-Consensus
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.2¢ | $16K | — | +$129 |
| 0xaba6…0cd9
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.4¢ | $3.8K | $7.6K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.3¢ | $11K | — | +$80 |
| Cheery-Preparation
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.52¢ | $11K | — | +$53 |
| Querulous-Futon
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.2¢ | $5.0K | $5.0K | $0 |
| Single-Air
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.5¢ | $10K | — | +$50 |
| Nimble-Soliloquy
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.2¢ | $9.9K | — | +$80 |
| Offbeat-Sisterinlaw
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $7.8K | — | +$79 |
| Shameless-Drive
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $7.1K | — | +$72 |
| Decent-Drop
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.17¢ | $6.0K | — | +$50 |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.6K | — |
| Peaceful-Fire-Bell
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.4¢ | $5.0K | — | +$30 |
| Weary-Resistance
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $4.7K | — | +$47 |
| Noted-Shop
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.4¢ | $4.0K | — | +$24 |
| Angelic-Enemy-Weeder
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $3.3K | — | +$10 |
| Harmless-Baseball
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 0.8¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Whirlwind-Maggot
13 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.2¢ | $2.7K | — | +$21 |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$670K98% of whale buying · 31 buyers · $105K sold
-
Yes lost$9.9K1% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.6K sold
-
No lost$6.0K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).