Cheery-Preparation
0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd
Cheery-Preparation: +$346 on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 73%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$346
return +0.5%
Settled bets
17
$72K staked
Won
94.1%
95% range 73%–99%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$140
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$96
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$110
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | $4.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? |
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30? |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.275T by September 30? | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.