Valid-Defense
0x69aa9fa621403e3a121b29ad77d32ba9eb5e8847
Valid-Defense: −$8.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$8.8K
return −6.5%
Settled bets
8
$136K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $15K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | $6.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $5.9K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $1.7K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | $6.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | $20K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.