Whirlwind-Maggot
0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942
Whirlwind-Maggot: −$2.6K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 23%–71%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −10.9%
Settled bets
13
$24K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 23%–71%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$585
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$346
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 65¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $1.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 76¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Yes
@ 79¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $1.6K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.37¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | $2.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $4.9K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.