Upright-Snug
0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a
Upright-Snug: +$1.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.1K
return +0.5%
Settled bets
3
$198K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | SELL No
@ 99.1¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | $50K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $130K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $198K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.