Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

30 whales put $126K into this market since Aug 20, 68% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$23K and 12 lost −$31K: −$7.6K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 30
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $26K $5.4K +$3.3K
Inferior-Grain
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $7.8K — +$609
Fabulous-Online
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 52¢ $7.6K — +$7.1K
0xe1e7…12fe
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 64¢ $7.2K — +$4.1K
Quixotic-Boatload-Visor
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.2K —
Generous-Decisionmaking
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 85¢ $4.6K — +$816
Nippy-Legume
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 53¢ $3.0K $1.3K −$1.7K
Snappy-Objective-Ashtray
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 50¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 89¢ $3.8K — −$1.7K
Knowledgeable-Peertopeer
22 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 42¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Lanky-Referendum-Humour
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 34¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 15¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Grubby-Mall
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 58¢ $3.3K — +$2.4K
Clear-Sarong
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 47¢ $3.2K — +$3.5K
Zigzag-Emergence-Mortise
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $3.0K — +$70
Suspicious-Repair
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Agitated-Jalapeño
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 42¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Flamboyant-Mallard
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 12¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Insecure-Bookcase
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Imaginative-Soup
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 74¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Kindhearted-Philosophy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 68¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Lanky-Similarity-Quiver
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 46¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Peaceful-Fire-Bell
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Unwitting-Raid
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 49¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Sociable-Product
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 56¢ $1.3K — +$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $67K
    68% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $18K sold
  2. No lost
    $32K
    33% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $7.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed