Pointed-Appearance
0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb
Pointed-Appearance: −$11K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −31.1%
Settled bets
3
$36K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$5.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$5.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $9.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $15K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $6.0K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Yes
@ 46¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.5K |
| Aug 23 | SELL No
@ 77¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.