Decent-Drop
0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b
Decent-Drop: +$70 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$70
return +0.4%
Settled bets
3
$16K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$15
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$55
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Iran Nuke before 2027? |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | $3.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $4.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $2.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.