Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
318 whales put $4.73M into this market since Aug 20, 70% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 234 whales whose whole position we captured, 141 made +$810K and 93 lost −$1.02M: −$211K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 318| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $468K | — | +$241K |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 29¢ | $440K | $5.9K | −$434K |
| Glamorous-Stitcher
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 83¢ | $357K | — | −$11K |
| Fatherly-Stamen
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 84¢ | $196K | $7.1K | +$36K |
| Powerful-Embarrassment-Stand
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $99K | — | +$12K |
| Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 76¢ | $93K | — | +$17K |
| Sardonic-Geography
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $92K | — | +$15K |
| Rubbery-Valentine
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $86K | — |
| Elementary-Cesspool
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 67¢ | $66K | $15K | +$32K |
| Torn-Cirrus
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 77¢ | $43K | $21K | +$6.6K |
| 0x22e4…ef1c
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 81¢ | $65K | — | +$15K |
| Large-Cartoon
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $57K | — | +$8.0K |
| Unkempt-Conduct
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 90¢ | $54K | — | +$6.0K |
| Similar-Balloonist
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 51¢ | $53K | — | +$51K |
| Exhausted-Authority
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 51¢ | $51K | — | +$48K |
| Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 79¢ | $50K | — | +$13K |
| Zigzag-Emergence-Mortise
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $50K | — | +$1.0K |
| Evil-Pigsty
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $49K | — | +$6.7K |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $42K | $4.4K | +$3.6K |
| Weak-Dinner
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 65¢ | $39K | $7.0K | −$32K |
| Upright-Hydrocarbon-Fowl
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $4.0K | $42K | — |
| Sociable-Product
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 32¢ | $10K | $35K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 74¢ | $44K | — | −$1.7K |
| Tender-Pine
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 81¢ | $10K | $31K | — |
| Pungent-Sheet
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 51¢ | $38K | — | −$38K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$2.80M70% of whale buying · 154 buyers · $523K sold
-
No lost$1.04M26% of whale buying · 100 buyers · $186K sold
-
No lost$150K4% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $29K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).