Offbeat-Sisterinlaw

0xc0cdf9dd4d1c688f648d31636242537a37ac0aa9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Offbeat-Sisterinlaw: +$936 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$936
return +6.1%
Settled bets
3
$15K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$936
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? $4.8K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 93¢
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? $4.4K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 99¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? $1.1K
Sep 15 BUY No @ 99¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? $7.8K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 99¢
Trump out as President by September 30?
Trump out as President by September 30? $3.5K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 82¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? $3.1K
Sep 11 BUY Yes @ 88¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed