Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
62 whales put $3.60M into this market since Aug 20, 99% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 40 whales whose whole position we captured, 35 made +$22K and 5 lost −$21K: +$1.6K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 62| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $1.78M | — | +$19K |
| Similar-Balloonist
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $203K | — |
| Amused-Venti
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $196K | — | +$196 |
| Detailed-Poison
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $6.0K | $174K | — |
| Agile-Toffee
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $173K | — | +$173 |
| Upright-Snug
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $130K | — |
| Cheap-Nurture-Clipper
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $109K | — | +$1.2K |
| Stylish-Instrument
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $100K | — | +$301 |
| Harmless-Baseball
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.8¢ | $100K | — | +$200 |
| Fragrant-Advent
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $80K | — |
| 0x0a3b…b8b1
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.71¢ | $24K | $22K | −$20 |
| Good-Natured-Cell
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $44K | — |
| Junior-Tophat-Upward
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $38K | — | +$463 |
| Shocked-Anagram
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.9¢ | $36K | — | +$36 |
| Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.8¢ | $35K | — | +$70 |
| Both-Seaside-Approach
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $1.1K | $30K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.61¢ | $28K | — | +$108 |
| Zigzag-Complexity
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.8¢ | $23K | — | +$45 |
| 0x6b23…5a43
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $11K | $11K | — |
| Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.9¢ | $20K | — | +$20 |
| Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $17K | — | −$3.7K |
| Frizzy-Consensus
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $7.1K | $8.0K | — |
| Forsaken-Outhouse
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $15K | — |
| Impassioned-Watch
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $13K | — | +$13 |
| Lean-Catacomb
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $12K | — | +$12 |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$2.82M99% of whale buying · 41 buyers · $757K sold
-
No lost$16K1% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Yes lost$4.9K0% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $3.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).