Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $72K on this market since Sep 15, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 69 seconds later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh-Macro
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $18K | — |
| Similar-Format
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $2.7K | $2.6K |
| Candid-Maniac
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $5.1K | — |
| 0xe1e7…12fe
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $4.9K | — |
| Tough-Snuck
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $4.9K | — |
| Novel-Chitchat
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $4.9K | — |
| Giving-Tick-Innervation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $4.8K | — |
| Impressive-Musicmaking
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $4.4K | — |
| Rare-Azimuth
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $4.3K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
154 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $3.6K | — |
| Wiry-Altitude-Deformation
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $3.0K | — |
| 0x7ad3…2e30
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| Idolized-Apology-Lane
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $1.6K | — |
| White-Helium-Call
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0xbd2b…1a1b
no settled record |
No @ 98¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Strong-Exit
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Menacing-Blogger
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$67K100% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $4.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 15 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $350K | 65 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | $55K | 9 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $97K | 24 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $184K | 28 | Open | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $97K | 22 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $77K | 17 | Open | |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | $73K | 12 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $361K | 31 | Open |