Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales traded $78K on this market since Sep 17, 73% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 110 seconds later would have cost 2.5¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Valuable
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $16K | — |
| Bruised-Steppingstone
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 65¢ | $8.7K | — |
| 0x6711…4829
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $6.6K |
| Shocked-Counseling
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 78¢ | $5.9K | — |
| Indelible-Try
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $5.7K | — |
| 0xe312…e0b2
no settled record |
Yes @ 19¢ | $5.6K | — |
| Skinny-Diving
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $4.0K | — |
| 0x389d…5866
no settled record |
Yes @ 16¢ | $3.9K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 82¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K |
| 0xd9d1…053e
no settled record |
Yes @ 23¢ | $3.3K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 78¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Outrageous-Greens
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Sniveling-Produce
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Feminine-Log
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K |
| Ready-Progression
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| 0xcbaf…c083
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,275 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Tedious-Congo
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 68¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Measly-Sleep
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$45K73% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $9.0K sold
-
No$17K27% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $6.0K sold
-
No$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.8K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.17M | 217 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $965K | 104 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $631K | 32 | Open | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $78K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $801K | 115 | Open | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $93K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $69K | 14 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $141K | 29 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?