Strong-Exit
0xfe2d0b7350141c8413da4ab3eb72b5d71026da35
Strong-Exit: +$430 on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 81%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$430
return +1.2%
Settled bets
16
$37K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 81%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$29
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$372
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$30
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? |
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | $1.2K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.